IBM_Blue_Gene_P_supercomputer from wikipedia

Center for Hybrid Multicore Productivity Research
Distinguished Computational Science Lecture Series

Human Computing Capacity and Future Human Development

Professor Bezalel Gavish
Information Technology and Operations Management
Southern Methodist University, Dallas TX

2:30pm Monday, 18 November 2013, ITE 325B, UMBC

This talk introduces bounds on future computers’ processing capacity and analyzes the possibilities for their realization in the long run. The analysis shows the existence of hard limits on the progress in processing capacity, which in turn generates bounds on future computing capacity. The results show that it is unlikely that some of the predictions on future computing capabilities will ever be achieved. The capacity bounds stem from fundamental physical limitations, which generate the relatively tight bounds. Different bounds have been developed that will be reached much faster than expected when compared to using simple traditional forecasting methods. This will be discussed in the lecture.

Assuming that computational activities like decision making, processing, vision, control, auditory and sensing activities of human beings require energy, the above energy based results generate upper bounds on the computational capacity (in the broadest sense) of human beings. The results are architecture independent and have direct impact on research on models of the brain and provide bounds on the cognitive abilities of human beings. A byproduct of this line of research is providing some new conjectures on the past and future physical development of the human species.

Professor Bezalel Gavish holds the Eugene J. and Ruth F. Constantin Distinguished Chair at Southern Methodist University in Dallas, Texas. He was the Chairman of the Information Technology and Operations Management department at the Cox business School. Professor Gavish is the founding Chairman of the International Conference on Telecommunications Systems Management and the International Conference on Networking and Electronic Commerce. He is the Editor-in-Chief of two top ranked research oriented journals, the Telecommunication Systems Journal, and of the Electronic Commerce Research Journal; serves as an Editorial board member of the Wireless Networks journal, Networks, Annals of Information Systems; was Telecommunications Departmental Editor for the Operations Research journal and Department Editor of Distributed Systems in ORSA Journal on Computing; and serves on the editorial boards of Computers and Operations Research, Annals of Mathematics of Artificial Intelligence, INFOR, Mathematics of Industrial Systems, Combinatorial Optimization: Theory and Practice, and Pesquisa Operacional. Prof. Gavish has published over 100 papers in his areas of expertise. He received the Ph.D. (1975) in operations research from the Technion, Israel Institute of Technology.